Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 8.719142 10.216223 11.855167 13.777548 15.965281 18.372059 21.214600
2025-12-14 5.986687 7.943147 10.316447 13.382746 17.212162 21.807479 27.706538
2025-12-21 4.406270 6.474097 9.199149 12.998126 18.092992 24.617758 33.521014
2025-12-28 3.693610 5.900544 9.010524 13.615472 20.142720 28.927026 41.475552
2026-01-04 3.117812 5.370799 8.740977 14.001568 21.822207 32.799682 49.094972
2026-01-11 2.602245 4.814473 8.313952 14.048679 22.951585 35.929120 55.860865
2026-01-18 2.197733 4.349712 7.936414 14.083386 24.009397 38.977471 62.673586
2026-01-25 1.807745 3.828802 7.376943 13.731087 24.390518 40.995751 68.051212
2026-02-01 1.495775 3.384885 6.872157 13.384624 24.709345 42.894007 73.321896
2026-02-08 1.213905 2.939511 6.291021 12.817584 24.576703 44.026991 77.423507
2026-02-15 1.000277 2.587465 5.824932 12.385752 24.607971 45.390767 81.937584
2026-02-22 0.905253 2.472754 5.800690 12.765592 26.091917 49.254667 90.760775
2026-03-01 0.806568 2.342409 5.751903 13.145391 27.710693 53.636125 101.044850
2026-03-08 0.664460 2.076614 5.381610 12.852452 28.075935 55.922783 108.036845
2026-03-15 0.543305 1.830563 5.008737 12.497263 28.274732 57.916678 114.651859
2026-03-22 0.499028 1.781569 5.079649 13.097164 30.414634 63.599311 128.174006
2026-03-29 0.447535 1.697789 5.051725 13.471111 32.123933 68.590534 140.743908
2026-04-05 0.387383 1.570094 4.890719 13.516788 33.146857 72.339171 151.246442
2026-04-12 0.335570 1.453032 4.734898 13.550374 34.139430 76.086211 161.956956
2026-04-19 0.278079 1.297010 4.442944 13.209714 34.272355 78.132507 169.541978
2026-04-26 0.230291 1.158222 4.170241 12.874733 34.375557 80.110903 177.094115
2026-05-03 0.184819 1.009614 3.835728 12.326565 33.923924 80.902828 182.342203
2026-05-10 0.150401 0.891236 3.566510 11.909178 33.728872 82.201668 188.657180